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The long-run effects of labour market polarisation

This research project analyses differences in longer-term labour market trajectories between workers characterised by different task profiles. In order to do so, we use German micro data (Sample of Integrated Labour Market Biographies, SIAB; BIBBBAuA Labour Force Survey) to investigate employment probabilities, labour market transitions into and out of unemployment as well as wage profiles. In the empirical analysis, we use the task approach which enables us to differentiate between routine tasks and non-routine (manual/cognitive) tasks. Jobs that are characterised by a high degree of routine intensity are more likely to be automated or offshored. We therefore investigate whether workers whose jobs are characterised by high routine intensity do worse on the labour market than workers who perform more complex tasks.

Project start:
01. July 2016

Project end:
24. December 2017

Project management:
Prof. Dr. Ronald Bachmann

Project staff:
Merve Cim

Project partners:
Norwegian University of Science and Technology

Bertelsmann Stiftung