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BBSR-Online-Publikation

2026

Philipp Breidenbach, Felix Heuer, Niklas Isaak, Kathrin Kaestner, Johannes Lauer, Benedikt Lorenz, Philipp Markus, Holger Perlwitz, Sandra Schaffner

Folgen warmer Nebenkosten

Wirkungsanalyse aktueller und zukünftiger Wärmekosten für private Haushalte, Energieversorger und Wohnungsunternehmen

The research project underlying this publication examined the financial burden of heating-related utility costs on private households in 2022 and 2023 and evaluated existing relief measures in this context. In addition, the effects on energy providers and the housing sector were assessed and evaluated accordingly. A key finding is that, overall, government relief measures such as energy price allowances and price caps were able to support private households in proportion to their financial burden. Households that heat with oil were an exception, as they were less of a focus in the discussions and support measures. Most energy suppliers implement long-term procurement strategies and were thus able to weather the energy price crisis well. As a result, the government safety nets established for energy suppliers were hardly ever needed. For housing companies, the energy crisis marks the beginning of a difficult economic period. However, this was not caused by direct effects of rising energy prices, but rather by increased construction material costs, high interest rates, and the depreciation of real estate values. The results of the energy price forecast show that by 2035, price levels similar to those seen during the energy crisis could become the new normal — or even be exceeded. The causes are seen as rising grid fees resulting from necessary investments in energy infrastructure, as well as the rising CO2 price for fossil fuels.

Bundesinstitut für Bau-, Stadt- und Raumforschung (BBSR)

ISSN: 1868-0097

DOI: 10.58007/bc5t-fg47