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Ariadne-Analyse

2023

Kathrin Kaestner, Manuel Frondel, Andreas Gerster, Ralph Henger, Christian Oberst, Michael Pahle, Antonia Schwarz, Puja Singhal

Erkenntnisse zur Energiekrise aus dem Ariadne Wärme- & Wohnen-Panel

Russia's attack on Ukraine in February 2022 and its consequences for energy prices and security of supply in Germany have highlighted the importance of strategic coordination of climate and energy policy. Since then, the maxim has been that the transition to a sustainable energy supply and the reduction of dependence on fossil fuels must take place more quickly than before. It also became clear how closely climate policy is linked to social policy: Higher energy costs on the one hand force the switch from fossil to renewable energies, but on the other hand lead to greater burdens on private households. Due to the sharp rise in energy prices, especially for natural gas, following the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the German government has launched three relief packages designed to provide billions in financial relief for households and companies. In designing the relief packages, it once again became clear how scanty the information on energy costs and energy-related refurbishment needs in the building sector is - and how much the design of political measures is done "flying blind" and is therefore not necessarily socially just. Only little reliable data is available to estimate the financial costs for the state budget associated with the relief packages and the relief effects they have on private households in different income groups. An important step towards closing this information gap is the newly established German Heating & Housing Panel, which is part of the Kopernikus project Ariadne funded by the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF). With the help of this data, a wide range of questions relating to the heat transition can be investigated. Since 2021, annual surveys of around 15,000 private households have collected comprehensive information on building and heating characteristics, energy refurbishments, energy consumption values and energy costs, in addition to socio-economic household characteristics. The panel thus links building characteristics with the socio-economic characteristics of the occupants in a hitherto unique way, making it the most up-to-date and probably also the most accurate source of information for political decision-makers on the development of short- and long-term, socially acceptable climate protection measures in the building sector. This Ariadne analysis consists of a collection of four brief analyses of the design and impact of the three relief packages that have been picked up in advance by the media.

Kopernikus-Projekt Ariadne

DOI: 10.48485/pik.2023.010